KEYS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KEYS - Keysight Technologies, Inc.
$316.13
-0.38 (-0.12%)
▼
5d:
-11.65%
30d:
-2.77%
90d:
-6.35%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 18, 2026 at $333.73 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
Strength: 8.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: KEYS is down 11.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: KEYS is down 11.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$580.97
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$360.73
12.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KEYS is currently trading at $316.13, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $312.07 to $343.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.2) compared to its historical average (27.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 109.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEYS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $310.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KEYS scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $415.08 (+31.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEYS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $310.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KEYS scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $415.08 (+31.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$312.07 -
$343.63
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KEYS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.3% below Wall St target ($415.08)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$312.07 -
$343.63
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$310.27
Resistance Level
$366.41
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.16
Wall Street Target
$415.08
(+31.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
109.1%
Profit Margin
19.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.2 vs 27.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$296.85
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$278.74
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$261.74
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→28)
$315.30
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.2, Growth: 18.7%)
$528.67
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 18.7%)
$458.14
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 18.7%)
$389.42
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.37
Bull Case
$644.82
(+104%)
Analyst growth 85.2%, PE expands to 47.2
Base Case
$586.20
(+85%)
Market implied 85.2%, PE stable at 43.0
Bear Case
$215.23
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.2 to 27.9
Stabilization Target:
$380.83
(+20.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 1:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is KEYS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Jeffrey K Li
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-24
Neil Dougherty
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-24
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Advanced KEYS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KEYS price and gamma walls.
