Is GRPN stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, GRPN is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GRPN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of GRPN stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for GRPN to be between $16.22 and $19.42. The current price is $15.50.

What is the analyst price target for GRPN?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for GRPN is $28.67. This implies a potential upside of 84.9% from current levels.

Groupon, Inc.Common Stock (GRPN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GRPN - Groupon, Inc.Common Stock

SERVICES-ADVERTISING AGENCIES

$15.50

-0.08 (-0.51%) ▼

5d: -6.17%

30d: -21.36%

90d: -43.2%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Nov 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 05, 2026 1d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 2, 2026 at $15.58 · last confirmed Nov 2, 2026

Strength: 7.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GRPN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$21.33

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$13.24

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GRPN is currently trading at $15.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.22 to $19.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.0) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GRPN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: GRPN scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.67 (+84.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $16.22 - $19.42

Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 58.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 84.9% below Wall St target ($28.67)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $16.22 - $19.42

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.34

Resistance Level $17.15

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Nov 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.02

Wall Street Target $28.67 (+84.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 109.2%

Profit Margin -25.3%

Valuation Premium vs History +0.7% premium

PE vs Historical 18.0 vs 17.7 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +0.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $15.61 (+1%)

2-Year Target $15.72 (+1%)

3-Year Target $15.83 (+2%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→18) PE COMPRESSION $15.54 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

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Last updated: November 03, 2026 5:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:27 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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NEUTRAL

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Advanced GRPN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GRPN price and gamma walls.

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