H Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

H - Hyatt Hotels Corporation

HOTELS & MOTELS
$179.85
1.48 (0.83%) ▲
5d: +0.54%
30d: -5.84%
90d: +7.53%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: H shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$237.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$147.31
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: H is currently trading at $179.85, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $176.89 to $191.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 36.9) is in line with its historical norms (38.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 110.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, H is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $181.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: H scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $176.89 - $191.08
Company Quality Score 73/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 85.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (79/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($196.43)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 79/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $176.89 - $191.08
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $168.03
Resistance Level $181.35
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 36.91
Wall Street Target $196.43 (+9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 110.5%
Profit Margin 2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 36.9 vs 38.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $176.79 (-2%)
2-Year Target $173.79 (-3%)
3-Year Target $170.83 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 37→39) $179.60 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 36.9, Growth: 34.9%) $441.64 (+146%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 34.9%) $242.09 (+35%)
Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: 34.9%) $205.77 (+14%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (37x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 42.92 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.19
Bull Case $217.17 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 45.1
Base Case $179.85 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 42.9
Bear Case $137.59 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 38.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.9 to 38.8
Stabilization Target: $189.08 (+5.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.1%
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Last updated: August 14, 2026 2:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jnp 2010-Pg Trust SELL 213434 shares 2026-04-17
Kinsey Wolf SELL 400 shares 2026-03-23
Kinsey Wolf SELL 400 shares 2026-03-19

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