Hyatt Hotels (H) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
H - Hyatt Hotels Corporation
$161.18
-0.76 (-0.47%)
▼
5d:
+2.81%
30d:
-1.16%
90d:
-15.03%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: H shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: H shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$237.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$147.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: H is currently trading at $161.18, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $157.00 to $162.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 33.1) compared to its historical average (37.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 110.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, H is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $164.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: H scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $196.83 (+22.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, H is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $164.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: H scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $196.83 (+22.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$157.00 -
$162.14
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.1% below Wall St target ($196.83)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 11% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$157.00 -
$162.14
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$155.90
Resistance Level
$164.22
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.08
Wall Street Target
$196.83
(+22.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
110.5%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
33.1 vs 37.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$154.09
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$147.31
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$140.83
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→38)
$161.35
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.1, Growth: 35.6%)
$401.64
(+149%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 35.6%)
$241.13
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 35.6%)
$204.96
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 27.93 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.77
Bull Case
$194.62
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 29.3
Base Case
$161.18
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 27.9
Bear Case
$123.30
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 25.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.1 to 37.9
Stabilization Target:
$184.66
(+14.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 13, 2026 3:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is H showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jnp 2010-Pg Trust
SELL
213434 shares
2026-04-17
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