What is the fair value of HON stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for HON to be between $205.00 and $212.39. The current price is $207.29.

What is the analyst price target for HON?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for HON is $257.61. This implies a potential upside of 24.3% from current levels.

Honeywell International (HON) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HON - Honeywell International, Inc.

AIRCRAFT ENGINES & ENGINE PARTS

$207.29

-2.35 (-1.12%) ▼

5d: -2.62%

30d: +2.93%

90d: -6.98%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 22, 2026 7d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 8, 2026 at $206.60 · last confirmed Oct 12, 2026

Strength: 5.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: HON is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 18.4%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$342.23

Based on 11.2% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$212.50

2.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HON is currently trading at $207.29, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $205.00 to $212.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.1) is in line with its historical norms (20.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HON is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $204.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $257.61 (+24.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $205.00 - $212.39

Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 73.3%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 24.3% below Wall St target ($257.61)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $205.00 - $212.39

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $204.23

Resistance Level $216.13

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.10

Wall Street Target $257.61 (+24.3%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 263.9%

Profit Margin 21.6%

Valuation Premium vs History +0.9% premium

PE vs Historical 21.1 vs 20.6 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $209.16 (+1%)

2-Year Target $211.04 (+2%)

3-Year Target $212.94 (+3%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→21) PE COMPRESSION $207.85 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 21.1, Growth: 18.4%) $343.66 (+66%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.4%) $323.40 (+56%)

Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 18.4%) $274.89 (+33%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 7.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $27.09

Bull Case $115.30 (-44%)

Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 8.5

Base Case $104.82 (-49%)

Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 7.7

Bear Case $142.55 (-31%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.6

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 14, 2026 4:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 AM

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