HON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HON - Honeywell International, Inc.
$227.41
7.10 (3.22%)
▲
5d:
+7.37%
30d:
+4.45%
90d:
-3.03%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HON shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HON shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$307.30
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$190.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HON is currently trading at $227.41, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $213.28 to $229.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.9) is in line with its historical norms (19.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HON is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $205.52, while resistance sits at $239.01. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HON is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $205.52, while resistance sits at $239.01. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$213.28 -
$229.70
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($246.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 2.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$213.28 -
$229.70
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$205.52
Resistance Level
$239.01
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.87
Wall Street Target
$246.67
(+8.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.9%
Profit Margin
10.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 19.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$228.09
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$228.78
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$229.46
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$227.52
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.8%)
$321.08
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.8%)
$292.89
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 8.8%)
$248.96
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.26
Bull Case
$443.11
(+95%)
Analyst growth 82.8%, PE expands to 38.7
Base Case
$402.83
(+77%)
Market implied 82.8%, PE stable at 35.2
Bear Case
$149.81
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 16, 2026 2:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-19
D Scott Davis
SELL
2367 shares
2026-02-19
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