IOSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IOSP - Innospec Inc.
$93.86
-1.52 (-1.59%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.92%
30d:
+9.16%
90d:
+14.56%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: IOSP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: IOSP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$159.14
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.82
5.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IOSP is currently trading at $93.86, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.12 to $95.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.3) compared to its historical average (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOSP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $91.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IOSP scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOSP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $91.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IOSP scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$87.12 -
$95.04
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (24/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($101.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$87.12 -
$95.04
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$91.80
Resistance Level
$96.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.26
Wall Street Target
$101.00
(+7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.0%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$97.99
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$102.30
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$106.80
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$93.77
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 24.6%)
$238.99
(+155%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 24.6%)
$181.47
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 24.6%)
$154.25
(+64%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.90
Bull Case
$131.68
(+40%)
Analyst growth 25.5%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$119.71
(+28%)
Market implied 25.5%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$64.86
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 31, 2026 7:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IOSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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