IOSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IOSP - Innospec Inc.
$83.10
1.33 (1.63%)
▲
5d:
+0.35%
30d:
+1.78%
90d:
+12.91%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IOSP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IOSP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$154.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$96.20
13.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IOSP is currently trading at $83.10, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.13 to $84.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOSP is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $83.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.33 (+19.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOSP is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $83.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.33 (+19.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$81.13 -
$84.04
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($99.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.3% growth with 2.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$81.13 -
$84.04
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.07
Resistance Level
$83.32
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.68
Wall Street Target
$99.33
(+19.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.9%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 13.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$84.18
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$85.27
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$86.38
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$82.70
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 27.1%)
$271.31
(+227%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 27.1%)
$170.45
(+105%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 27.1%)
$144.88
(+74%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.58
Bull Case
$119.27
(+44%)
Analyst growth 32.6%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case
$108.43
(+31%)
Market implied 32.6%, PE stable at 17.9
Bear Case
$55.60
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 02, 2026 7:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IOSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David B Jones
SELL
1028 shares
2026-03-03
Claudia Poccia
SELL
119 shares
2026-02-27
David Landless
SELL
594 shares
2026-02-27
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