IOSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IOSP - Innospec Inc.
$93.76
1.15 (1.24%)
â˛
5d:
-1.99%
30d:
+8.14%
90d:
+16.33%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: IOSP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: IOSP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$159.14
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.82
5.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IOSP is currently trading at $93.76, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.18 to $95.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.2) compared to its historical average (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOSP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $91.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IOSP scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOSP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $91.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IOSP scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$88.18 -
$95.24
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($101.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$88.18 -
$95.24
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$91.80
Resistance Level
$96.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.25
Wall Street Target
$101.00
(+7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.0%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.3% premium
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$97.79
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$102.00
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$106.38
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$93.50
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 24.6%)
$240.54
(+157%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 24.6%)
$181.27
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 24.6%)
$154.08
(+64%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.83
Bull Case
$131.46
(+42%)
Analyst growth 27.3%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$119.51
(+29%)
Market implied 27.3%, PE stable at 19.4
Bear Case
$63.82
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 02, 2026 5:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IOSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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