JBHT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JBHT - JB Hunt Transport Services Inc
$275.45
0.98 (0.36%)
▲
5d:
-1.52%
30d:
-4.81%
90d:
+6.26%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JBHT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JBHT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$492.46
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$305.78
9.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBHT is currently trading at $275.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $269.24 to $287.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.2) is in line with its historical norms (26.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBHT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $261.28, while resistance sits at $287.93.
Market Sentiment: JBHT scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $305.45 (+10.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBHT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $261.28, while resistance sits at $287.93.
Market Sentiment: JBHT scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $305.45 (+10.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$269.24 -
$287.53
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($305.45)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 64/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$269.24 -
$287.53
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$12.08
(4.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$261.28
Resistance Level
$287.93
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.23
Wall Street Target
$305.45
(+10.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
45.8%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
27.2 vs 26.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$276.55
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$277.66
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$278.77
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$275.38
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.2, Growth: 29.3%)
$595.03
(+116%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 29.3%)
$438.56
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 29.3%)
$372.77
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.08
Bull Case
$431.36
(+57%)
Analyst growth 42.9%, PE expands to 42.6
Base Case
$392.14
(+42%)
Market implied 42.9%, PE stable at 38.8
Bear Case
$186.64
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JBHT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nicholas Hobbs
SELL
1272 shares
2026-04-22
James K Thompson
SELL
1000 shares
2026-04-21
Jennifer Boattini
SELL
2238 shares
2026-02-27
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Advanced JBHT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JBHT price and gamma walls.
