Landstar System (LSTR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LSTR - Landstar System Inc
$177.92
3.59 (2.06%)
â˛
5d:
-1.17%
30d:
+0.49%
90d:
-18.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LSTR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LSTR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$372.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$231.03
23.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LSTR is currently trading at $177.92, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $175.61 to $186.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.3) compared to its historical average (25.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $170.40, while resistance sits at $189.72.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $196.38 (+10.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $170.40, while resistance sits at $189.72.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $196.38 (+10.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$175.61 -
$186.06
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($196.38)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$175.61 -
$186.06
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$170.40
Resistance Level
$189.72
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.28
Wall Street Target
$196.38
(+10.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.3 vs 25.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$171.69
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$165.68
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$159.88
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23â26)
$177.88
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.3, Growth: 29.1%)
$382.98
(+115%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 29.1%)
$332.81
(+87%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 29.1%)
$282.89
(+59%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.86
Bull Case
$379.69
(+113%)
Analyst growth 98.0%, PE expands to 49.7
Base Case
$345.17
(+94%)
Market implied 98.0%, PE stable at 45.2
Bear Case
$118.54
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.3 to 25.9
Stabilization Target:
$197.95
(+11.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 05, 2026 5:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LSTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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