LSTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LSTR - Landstar System Inc
$174.77
5.43 (3.21%)
▲
5d:
-12.74%
30d:
-15.71%
90d:
-5.05%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: LSTR is down 12.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: LSTR is down 12.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$363.00
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$225.39
22.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LSTR is currently trading at $174.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $190.76 to $215.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.7) compared to its historical average (26.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 36.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $167.58, while resistance sits at $215.15. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $196.60 (+16.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $167.58, while resistance sits at $215.15. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $196.60 (+16.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$190.76 -
$215.16
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($196.60)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$190.76 -
$215.16
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$167.58
Resistance Level
$215.15
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.71
Wall Street Target
$196.60
(+16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.9%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.7 vs 26.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$161.55
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$154.12
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$147.03
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→26)
$169.61
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.7, Growth: 28.0%)
$355.05
(+110%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 28.0%)
$325.33
(+92%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 28.0%)
$276.53
(+63%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 33.11 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.28
Bull Case
$211.03
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 34.8
Base Case
$174.77
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 33.1
Bear Case
$133.70
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 29.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.7 to 26.2
Stabilization Target:
$195.35
(+15.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LSTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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