LSTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LSTR - Landstar System Inc
$218.06
-1.49 (-0.68%)
▼
5d:
+5.39%
30d:
+20.26%
90d:
+43.63%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LSTR trades at premium valuation expecting 6.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: LSTR trades at premium valuation expecting 6.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$342.30
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$212.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LSTR is currently trading at $218.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $175.94 to $206.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.9) compared to its historical average (25.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $215.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LSTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $175.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $215.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LSTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $175.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$175.94 -
$206.00
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.9% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 19.7% above Wall St target ($175.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.8% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$175.94 -
$206.00
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$182.78
Resistance Level
$215.85
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.95
Wall Street Target
$175.00
(-19.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.9%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.8% premium
PE vs Historical
31.0 vs 25.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$232.89
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$248.72
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$265.64
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$218.01
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.9, Growth: 24.9%)
$424.40
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 24.9%)
$300.44
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 24.9%)
$255.38
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 38.46 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.67
Bull Case
$263.31
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 40.4
Base Case
$218.06
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 38.5
Bear Case
$166.82
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 34.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 07, 2026 11:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LSTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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