Johnson Outdoors (JOUT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JOUT - Johnson Outdoors Inc
$45.24
0.24 (0.53%)
▲
5d:
+6.05%
30d:
+1.82%
90d:
-5.16%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JOUT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JOUT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.80
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JOUT is currently trading at $45.24, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.17 to $44.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.1) compared to its historical average (24.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.00 (+26.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.00 (+26.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$43.17 -
$44.81
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.0% below Wall St target ($57.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.2% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.17 -
$44.81
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.78
Resistance Level
$46.07
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 26, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.09
Wall Street Target
$57.00
(+26.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
89.3%
Profit Margin
-1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.2% premium
PE vs Historical
32.1 vs 24.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.85
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$54.94
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$60.54
(+34%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$45.29
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.1, Growth: 8.5%)
$57.72
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.5%)
$35.73
(-21%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 8.5%)
$30.37
(-33%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 27, 2026 6:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JOUT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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