JOUT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JOUT - Johnson Outdoors Inc
$46.77
0.77 (1.67%)
▲
5d:
+0.56%
30d:
+2.99%
90d:
-1.18%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JOUT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: JOUT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$103.42
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.22
27.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JOUT is currently trading at $46.77, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.48 to $46.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.9) compared to its historical average (22.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 304.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $47.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JOUT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+17.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $47.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JOUT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+17.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$44.48 -
$46.54
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($55.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.48 -
$46.54
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.59
Resistance Level
$47.46
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.90
Wall Street Target
$55.00
(+17.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
304.5%
Profit Margin
-2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 22.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.81
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$42.92
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$41.12
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→23)
$46.70
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 213.3%)
$172.74
(+269%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 213.3%)
$157.85
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 213.3%)
$134.17
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.9 to 22.6
Stabilization Target:
$53.11
(+13.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 29, 2026 5:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JOUT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Casey Sheahan
SELL
7580 shares
2026-02-23
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