Karat Packaging (KRT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRT - Karat Packaging Inc. Common Stock
$53.31
-0.90 (-1.66%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.33%
30d:
+5.82%
90d:
+38.34%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KRT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 14.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KRT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 14.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.23
Based on -5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRT is currently trading at $53.31, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.64 to $54.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.9) compared to its historical average (15.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $46.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $46.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$49.64 -
$54.52
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 12.8% above Wall St target ($46.50)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 14.2% growth expectation is conservative given 170% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$49.64 -
$54.52
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.11
Resistance Level
$56.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.88
Wall Street Target
$46.50
(-12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
170.4%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.2% premium
PE vs Historical
22.9 vs 15.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.88
(+14%)
2-Year Target
$69.52
(+30%)
3-Year Target
$79.40
(+49%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23â15)
PE COMPRESSION
$53.44
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.9, Growth: -14.3%)
$38.86
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -14.3%)
$33.73
(-37%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: -14.3%)
$26.16
(-51%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 21.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.52
Bull Case
$55.13
(+3%)
Analyst growth -7.5%, PE expands to 23.7
Base Case
$50.12
(-6%)
Market implied -7.5%, PE stable at 21.5
Bear Case
$36.86
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 18, 2026 2:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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