KRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRT - Karat Packaging Inc. Common Stock
$48.07
0.18 (0.39%)
▲
5d:
-0.4%
30d:
+24.97%
90d:
+77.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KRT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KRT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.40
Based on -5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRT is currently trading at $48.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.59 to $46.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.6) compared to its historical average (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $41.25, while resistance sits at $50.81.
Market Sentiment: KRT scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $41.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $41.25, while resistance sits at $50.81.
Market Sentiment: KRT scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $41.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$37.59 -
$46.63
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
19.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 13.3% above Wall St target ($41.50)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 14.3% growth expectation is conservative given 170% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.59 -
$46.63
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.25
Resistance Level
$50.81
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.55
Wall Street Target
$41.50
(-13.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
170.4%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.3% premium
PE vs Historical
20.6 vs 13.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.73
(+14%)
2-Year Target
$62.55
(+31%)
3-Year Target
$71.50
(+49%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$48.01
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.5, Growth: -14.3%)
$34.90
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -14.3%)
$34.16
(-29%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: -14.3%)
$23.44
(-51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 19.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.50
Bull Case
$49.00
(+2%)
Analyst growth -6.8%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$44.55
(-7%)
Market implied -6.8%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case
$32.50
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 19, 2026 11:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:02 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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