Lam Research (LRCX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LRCX - Lam Research Corp
$239.11
-15.28 (-6.01%)
▼
5d:
+3.92%
30d:
-29.69%
90d:
-18.84%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 8, 2026 at $320.59 · last confirmed Oct 30, 2026
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LRCX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LRCX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$398.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$247.28
3.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LRCX is currently trading at $239.11, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $255.81 to $328.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 29.2) compared to its historical average (37.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 76.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LRCX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $225.14, while resistance sits at $279.92. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: LRCX scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $364.03 (+52.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LRCX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $225.14, while resistance sits at $279.92. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: LRCX scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $364.03 (+52.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$255.81 -
$328.67
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LRCX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 52.2% below Wall St target ($364.03)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 14% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$255.81 -
$328.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$225.14
Resistance Level
$279.92
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.23
Wall Street Target
$364.03
(+52.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
54.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
76.6%
Profit Margin
32.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
29.2 vs 37.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$220.46
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$203.26
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$187.41
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→37)
$239.15
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.2, Growth: 43.7%)
$708.81
(+196%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 43.7%)
$481.60
(+101%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 43.7%)
$409.36
(+71%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.71
Bull Case
$341.15
(+43%)
Analyst growth 21.9%, PE expands to 41.7
Base Case
$310.14
(+30%)
Market implied 21.9%, PE stable at 37.9
Bear Case
$172.99
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.2 to 37.3
Stabilization Target:
$305.13
(+27.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 31, 2026 11:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LRCX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced LRCX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LRCX price and gamma walls.
