LRCX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LRCX - Lam Research Corp
$290.20
-11.29 (-3.74%)
▼
5d:
-7.77%
30d:
-1.5%
90d:
-13.22%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LRCX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LRCX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$398.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$247.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LRCX is currently trading at $290.20, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $289.14 to $326.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 35.5) is in line with its historical norms (37.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LRCX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $286.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: LRCX scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $371.19 (+27.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LRCX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $286.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: LRCX scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $371.19 (+27.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$289.14 -
$326.07
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LRCX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.9% below Wall St target ($371.19)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.8%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$289.14 -
$326.07
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$286.59
Resistance Level
$328.57
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.48
Wall Street Target
$371.19
(+27.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.8%
Profit Margin
31.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
35.5 vs 37.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$284.40
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$278.71
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$273.13
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→38)
$290.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.5, Growth: 43.7%)
$860.26
(+196%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 43.7%)
$487.42
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 43.7%)
$414.31
(+43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 34.48 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.42
Bull Case
$350.42
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 36.2
Base Case
$290.20
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 34.5
Bear Case
$222.00
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.5 to 37.7
Stabilization Target:
$308.40
(+6.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 01, 2026 10:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LRCX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
David Taylor
BUY
2026-03-12
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