MarketWise (MKTW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MKTW - MarketWise, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$18.25
-0.66 (-3.49%)
âŧ
5d:
-5.19%
30d:
+2.59%
90d:
-8.98%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MKTW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MKTW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.14
24.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MKTW is currently trading at $18.25, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.12 to $19.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.2) is in line with its historical norms (6.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKTW is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: MKTW scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.76 (+25.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKTW is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: MKTW scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.76 (+25.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$18.12 -
$19.75
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 25.6% below Wall St target ($23.76)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.12 -
$19.75
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.56
Resistance Level
$20.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.25
Wall Street Target
$23.76
(+25.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.8%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.3 vs 6.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.61
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$18.31
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$18.02
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6â7)
$19.02
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 380.2%)
$202.76
(+972%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.3, Growth: 380.2%)
$63.82
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: 380.2%)
$54.25
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.85
Bull Case
$41.70
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.5
Base Case
$37.91
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case
$12.89
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.3 to 6.6
Stabilization Target:
$19.96
(+5.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 16, 2026 1:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MKTW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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