MKTW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MKTW - MarketWise, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$19.38
-0.01 (-0.05%) ▼
5d: -2.12%
30d: -3.63%
90d: +15.56%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MKTW trades at premium valuation expecting 9.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.04
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MKTW is currently trading at $19.38, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.53 to $20.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (6.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MKTW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.70, while resistance sits at $22.83.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.76 (+22.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $19.53 - $20.75
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 82.9%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 22.5% below Wall St target ($23.76)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.3% growth with -5.2% revenue growth
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (55/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $19.53 - $20.75
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $18.70
Resistance Level $22.83
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.93
Wall Street Target $23.76 (+22.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -28.8%
Profit Margin 0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.3% premium
PE vs Historical 7.9 vs 6.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $21.19 (+9%)
2-Year Target $23.16 (+20%)
3-Year Target $25.32 (+31%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→6) PE COMPRESSION $19.48 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 288.2%) $166.98 (+761%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 288.2%) $65.44 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 6.1, Growth: 288.2%) $50.35 (+160%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.86
Bull Case $41.87 (+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.3
Base Case $38.06 (+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.1
Bear Case $12.94 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 17, 2026 1:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:21 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Erik Mickels SELL 6000 shares 2026-03-23
Frank Porter Stansberry BUY 17270 shares 2026-03-20
Erik Mickels SELL 3334 shares 2026-03-19

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