Marten Transport (MRTN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MRTN - Marten Transport Ltd
$11.81
0.03 (0.25%)
▲
5d:
-5.52%
30d:
-8.24%
90d:
-22.61%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MRTN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MRTN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.15
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.62
24.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MRTN is currently trading at $11.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.51 to $13.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.9) compared to its historical average (30.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 30.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRTN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.94, while resistance sits at $13.03.
Market Sentiment: MRTN scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.75 (+33.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRTN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.94, while resistance sits at $13.03.
Market Sentiment: MRTN scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.75 (+33.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.51 -
$13.43
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MRTN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.4% below Wall St target ($15.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.51 -
$13.43
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.94
Resistance Level
$13.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 26, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.86
Wall Street Target
$15.75
(+33.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.5%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.9 vs 30.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.74
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$9.76
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$8.87
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→31)
$11.84
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.9, Growth: 162.7%)
$39.86
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 162.7%)
$34.63
(+193%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 162.7%)
$29.44
(+149%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 17.64 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.67
Bull Case
$14.26
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$11.81
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$9.03
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.9 to 30.5
Stabilization Target:
$15.76
(+33.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 26, 2026 8:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MRTN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MRTN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MRTN price and gamma walls.
