NXPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NXPI - NXP Semiconductors N.V.
$223.15
-1.60 (-0.71%)
▼
5d:
-1.27%
30d:
-13.88%
90d:
-32.22%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 24, 2026 at $222.44 · last confirmed Aug 26, 2026
Strength: 9.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NXPI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NXPI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$477.35
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$296.40
24.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NXPI is currently trading at $223.15, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $222.94 to $259.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.3) compared to its historical average (15.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 72.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXPI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $217.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NXPI scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $311.10 (+39.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXPI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $217.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NXPI scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $311.10 (+39.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$222.94 -
$259.07
Company Quality Score
69/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NXPI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (77/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.4% below Wall St target ($311.10)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 18% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$222.94 -
$259.07
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$217.98
Resistance Level
$238.18
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 26, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.33
Wall Street Target
$311.10
(+39.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
72.6%
Profit Margin
22.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 15.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$209.09
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$195.92
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$183.58
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$223.29
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 20.2%)
$630.08
(+182%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 20.2%)
$387.15
(+74%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 20.2%)
$329.08
(+48%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.84
Bull Case
$377.84
(+69%)
Analyst growth 52.8%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$343.49
(+54%)
Market implied 52.8%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$152.83
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 15.0
Stabilization Target:
$271.43
(+21.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 27, 2026 12:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:08 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is NXPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Andrew Micallef
SELL
1000 shares
2026-03-16
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Advanced NXPI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NXPI price and gamma walls.
