Oxford Square Capital (OXSQ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OXSQ - Oxford Square Capital Corp.
$0.92
-0.01 (-1.56%)
▼
5d:
-23.76%
30d:
-27.36%
90d:
-38.5%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: OXSQ is down 23.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: OXSQ is down 23.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.25
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.40
33.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OXSQ is currently trading at $0.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.12 to $1.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.3) compared to its historical average (6.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXSQ is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.78, while resistance sits at $1.33.
Market Sentiment: OXSQ scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.75 (+86.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXSQ is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.78, while resistance sits at $1.33.
Market Sentiment: OXSQ scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.75 (+86.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$1.12 -
$1.36
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 86.7% below Wall St target ($1.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1.12 -
$1.36
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$0.78
Resistance Level
$1.33
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.26
Wall Street Target
$1.75
(+86.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.8%
Profit Margin
-93.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.3 vs 6.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$0.84
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$0.76
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$0.68
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→6)
$1.03
(+10%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.8%)
$6.78
(+624%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.3, Growth: 15.8%)
$1.45
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.6, Growth: 15.8%)
$1.24
(+32%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.3 to 6.4
Stabilization Target:
$1.41
(+50.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+50.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 03, 2026 10:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:51 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is OXSQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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