RTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RTX - RTX Corporation
$211.99
1.71 (0.81%)
â˛
5d:
-3.79%
30d:
-3.01%
90d:
+20.05%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: RTX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: RTX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$265.79
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$165.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RTX is currently trading at $211.99, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $206.45 to $223.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.0) is in line with its historical norms (26.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $207.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RTX scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $234.82 (+10.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $207.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RTX scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $234.82 (+10.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$206.45 -
$223.93
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($234.82)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$206.45 -
$223.93
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$207.44
Resistance Level
$226.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 26, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.98
Wall Street Target
$234.82
(+10.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.7%
Profit Margin
8.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
27.0 vs 26.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$214.53
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$217.11
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$219.71
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27â26)
PE COMPRESSION
$212.51
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.0, Growth: 8.5%)
$270.51
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 8.5%)
$201.19
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 8.5%)
$171.01
(-19%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.70
Bull Case
$318.79
(+50%)
Analyst growth 37.8%, PE expands to 40.6
Base Case
$289.81
(+37%)
Market implied 37.8%, PE stable at 36.9
Bear Case
$142.99
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 27, 2026 1:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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