SITM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SITM - SiTime Corporation Common Stock
$671.71
-18.25 (-2.65%)
▼
5d:
+15.2%
30d:
+11.48%
90d:
-25.49%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SITM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SITM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$725.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$450.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SITM is currently trading at $671.71, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $528.33 to $656.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 46.3) compared to its historical average (67.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $459.01, while resistance sits at $762.65.
Market Sentiment: SITM scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $864.38 (+25.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $459.01, while resistance sits at $762.65.
Market Sentiment: SITM scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $864.38 (+25.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$528.33 -
$656.43
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SITM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.3% below Wall St target ($864.38)
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$528.33 -
$656.43
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$459.01
Resistance Level
$762.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
46.28
Wall Street Target
$864.38
(+25.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
126.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.6%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
46.3 vs 67.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$620.96
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$558.87
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$502.98
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 46→68)
$737.92
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 46.3, Growth: 34.1%)
$1664.30
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 34.1%)
$727.47
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 34.1%)
$618.35
(-10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (71x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (46x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 70.92 | Forward EPS (Implied): $9.73
Bull Case
$833.13
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 74.5
Base Case
$689.96
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 70.9
Bear Case
$527.82
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 63.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 46.3 to 67.9
Stabilization Target:
$1012.24
(+46.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 11, 2026 2:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SITM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Piyush B Sevalia
SELL
2419 shares
2026-04-17
Piyush B Sevalia
SELL
1247 shares
2026-04-10
Piyush B Sevalia
SELL
1249 shares
2026-03-25
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