SITM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SITM - SiTime Corporation Common Stock
$735.96
14.72 (2.04%)
▲
5d:
+17.63%
30d:
-11.89%
90d:
+125.66%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SITM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SITM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$519.07
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$322.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SITM is currently trading at $735.96, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $645.22 to $797.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 67.7) is in line with its historical norms (71.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $742.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $827.78 (+14.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $742.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $827.78 (+14.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$645.22 -
$797.24
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
33th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 33th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($827.78)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$645.22 -
$797.24
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$101.18
(13.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$609.15
Resistance Level
$742.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
67.65
Wall Street Target
$827.78
(+14.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
88.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.6%
Profit Margin
-6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
67.7 vs 71.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$709.70
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$698.34
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$687.17
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 68→71)
$721.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 67.6, Growth: 35.8%)
$1806.36
(+151%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 35.8%)
$585.33
(-19%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 35.8%)
$497.53
(-31%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 67.6 to 71.0
Stabilization Target:
$757.00
(+5.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 12, 2026 2:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SITM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Piyush B Sevalia
SELL
2419 shares
2026-04-17
Piyush B Sevalia
SELL
1247 shares
2026-04-10
Piyush B Sevalia
SELL
1249 shares
2026-03-25
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Advanced SITM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SITM price and gamma walls.
