SPWR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPWR - Complete Solaria, Inc. Common Stock
$0.59
-0.01 (-1.15%)
▼
5d:
-7.3%
30d:
-45.57%
90d:
-50.14%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SPWR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SPWR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.21
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.75
20.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPWR is currently trading at $0.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $0.63 to $0.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.9) compared to its historical average (4.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPWR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $0.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.70 (+692.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPWR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $0.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.70 (+692.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$0.63 -
$0.94
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 692.2% below Wall St target ($4.70)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$0.63 -
$0.94
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$0.78
Resistance Level
$1.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.89
Wall Street Target
$4.70
(+692.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-87.1%
Profit Margin
-15.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.9 vs 4.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$0.53
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$0.48
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$0.43
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→4)
$0.63
(+6%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.9 to 4.2
Stabilization Target:
$0.86
(+45.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 07, 2026 9:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPWR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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