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VICI Properties (VICI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VICI - VICI Properties Inc. Common Stock

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$24.46
-0.06 (-0.24%) ▼
5d: +2.95%
30d: +7.61%
90d: -7.84%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 29, 2026 at $24.16 · last confirmed Oct 30, 2026

Strength: 7.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VICI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
VICI is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today

SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; VICI has been on it 1 day). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-10-30.

See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.81
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.48
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VICI is currently trading at $24.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.81 to $23.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.2) compared to its historical average (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VICI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: VICI scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.96 (+26.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $22.81 - $23.88
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 26.6% below Wall St target ($30.96)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 61/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $22.81 - $23.88
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $22.93
Resistance Level $24.82
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.18
Wall Street Target $30.96 (+26.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -41.4%
Profit Margin 67.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.2 vs 9.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $23.46 (-4%)
2-Year Target $22.50 (-8%)
3-Year Target $21.57 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→9) $24.53 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.7%) $76.32 (+212%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 8.7%) $31.44 (+29%)
Bear: (PE: 7.0, Growth: 8.7%) $26.72 (+9%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.57
Bull Case $31.38 (+28%)
Analyst growth 16.3%, PE expands to 10.5
Base Case $28.53 (+17%)
Market implied 16.3%, PE stable at 9.5
Bear Case $16.67 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 9.3
Stabilization Target: $27.81 (+13.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +13.7%
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Last updated: November 01, 2026 10:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
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0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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