WTW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WTW - Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares
$255.20
-4.83 (-1.86%)
▼
5d:
-2.14%
30d:
+0.39%
90d:
-11.15%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WTW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WTW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$471.18
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$292.56
12.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WTW is currently trading at $255.20, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $250.77 to $260.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 33.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WTW is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $248.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $331.68 (+30.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WTW is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $248.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $331.68 (+30.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$250.77 -
$260.95
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.0% below Wall St target ($331.68)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$250.77 -
$260.95
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$248.54
Resistance Level
$264.70
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.50
Wall Street Target
$331.68
(+30.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.0%
Profit Margin
16.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 13.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$239.38
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$224.54
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$210.61
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$254.54
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.8%)
$711.37
(+179%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 13.8%)
$375.65
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 13.8%)
$319.30
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.03
Bull Case
$363.75
(+43%)
Analyst growth 30.3%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$330.68
(+30%)
Market implied 30.3%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$172.58
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 13.9
Stabilization Target:
$308.42
(+20.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 20, 2026 3:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WTW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
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