Airgain (AIRG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AIRG - Airgain, Inc. Common Stock
$4.17
-0.03 (-0.71%)
βΌ
5d:
-19.81%
30d:
-20.57%
90d:
-28.1%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AIRG is down 19.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AIRG is down 19.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.09
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.37
55.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AIRG is currently trading at $4.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.74 to $5.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (31.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 24.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AIRG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AIRG scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.88 (+111.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AIRG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AIRG scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.88 (+111.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.74 -
$5.46
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 111.3% below Wall St target ($8.88)
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile β this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.74 -
$5.46
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
Β±$0.51
(12.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.06
Resistance Level
$5.47
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 5, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.55
Wall Street Target
$8.88
(+111.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-99.9%
Profit Margin
-13.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-24.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 31.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-24.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.78
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.40
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.06
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14β32)
$7.14
(+70%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.7, Growth: 342.9%)
$20.61
(+391%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 342.9%)
$14.17
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 342.9%)
$12.05
(+187%)
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 31.6
Stabilization Target:
$9.80
(+133.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+133.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 06, 2026 11:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AIRG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ali Sadri
SELL
1000 shares
2026-04-17
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