CHMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHMI - CHERRY HILL MORTGAGE INVESTMENT CORPORATION
$2.54
0.04 (1.60%)
▲
5d:
-0.78%
30d:
-7.97%
90d:
+12.39%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CHMI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CHMI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.16
Based on -1.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHMI is currently trading at $2.54, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.53 to $2.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.8) is in line with its historical norms (4.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHMI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.46, while resistance sits at $2.62.
Market Sentiment: CHMI scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.10 (+22.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHMI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.46, while resistance sits at $2.62.
Market Sentiment: CHMI scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.10 (+22.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$2.53 -
$2.79
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.0% below Wall St target ($3.10)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.8% growth with 27.6% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.53 -
$2.79
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.13
(5.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.46
Resistance Level
$2.62
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.79
Wall Street Target
$3.10
(+22.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-49.5%
Profit Margin
38.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
4.8 vs 4.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.59
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$2.63
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$2.68
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$2.52
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -7.8%)
$8.24
(+225%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.8, Growth: -7.8%)
$1.99
(-22%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.1, Growth: -7.8%)
$1.69
(-33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.19
Bull Case
$5.50
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$5.00
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 13.2
Bear Case
$1.70
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 1:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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