CPAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CPAY - Corpay, Inc.

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$352.25
-7.57 (-2.10%) ▼
5d: -0.1%
30d: +13.33%
90d: +7.16%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CPAY shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$539.04
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$334.70
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CPAY is currently trading at $352.25, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $313.63 to $354.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CPAY is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $333.18, while resistance sits at $367.43.

Market Sentiment: CPAY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $313.63 - $354.03
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($389.79)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $313.63 - $354.03
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$16.63 (4.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $333.18
Resistance Level $367.43
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jun 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.76
Wall Street Target $389.79 (+8.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 25.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 49.1%
Profit Margin 24.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.9% premium
PE vs Historical 11.8 vs 11.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $363.06 (+1%)
2-Year Target $366.33 (+2%)
3-Year Target $369.62 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→11) PE COMPRESSION $358.41 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 14.3%) $1001.98 (+179%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 14.3%) $537.65 (+49%)
Bear: (PE: 10.0, Growth: 14.3%) $457.00 (+27%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.71
Bull Case $710.40 (+102%)
Analyst growth 83.2%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case $645.82 (+83%)
Market implied 83.2%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case $239.77 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 03, 2026 4:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:40 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
3
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-23
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-10
Alissa B Vickery SELL 1701 shares 2026-02-10

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