Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVGI - Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.
$2.96
-0.02 (-0.50%)
▼
5d:
-0.67%
30d:
-5.43%
90d:
-35.51%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CVGI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CVGI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVGI is currently trading at $2.96, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.97 to $3.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.3) compared to its historical average (38.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVGI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.86, while resistance sits at $3.10.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.50 (+153.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVGI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.86, while resistance sits at $3.10.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.50 (+153.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$2.97 -
$3.14
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 153.4% below Wall St target ($7.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.97 -
$3.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.86
Resistance Level
$3.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.31
Wall Street Target
$7.50
(+153.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.6%
Profit Margin
-3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 38.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.66
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$2.40
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.16
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→38)
$4.27
(+44%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.3 to 38.2
Stabilization Target:
$5.86
(+97.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+97.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 9:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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