Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$3.45
+0.12 (+3.60%)
▲
5d:
+5.5%
30d:
+24.1%
90d:
+5.83%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
27/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$2.82 – $3.25
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
20.7x
CHEAP
vs 35.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$7.50
+117.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$3.01 / $4.00
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CVGI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVGI is currently trading at $3.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.82 to $3.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.7) compared to its historical average (35.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVGI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.01, while resistance sits at $4.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CVGI scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.50 (+117.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVGI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.01, while resistance sits at $4.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CVGI scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.50 (+117.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$2.82 -
$3.25
Company Quality Score
27/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$2.82 -
$3.25
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$3.01
Resistance Level
$4.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (24/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 117.4% below Wall St target ($7.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 27/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.70
Wall Street Target
$7.50
(+117.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.6%
Profit Margin
-1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.7 vs 35.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.11
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$2.79
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.52
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→35)
$4.28
(+24%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.7 to 35.2
Stabilization Target:
$5.87
(+70.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+70.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CVGI)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI) reported stronger-than-expected Q3 revenue, higher adjusted EBITDA, and improved adjusted gross margins, leading to a positive earnings surprise and a stock price increase.
Key Retail Themes:
improving customer demand
ramping of new business programs
higher production volumes and plant productivity gains
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 1:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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