Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVGI - Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.
$2.88
0.12 (4.35%)
â˛
5d:
+0.0%
30d:
-4.32%
90d:
-36.56%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CVGI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -19.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CVGI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -19.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVGI is currently trading at $2.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.84 to $3.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.8) compared to its historical average (36.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVGI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $2.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CVGI scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.50 (+160.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVGI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $2.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CVGI scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.50 (+160.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$2.84 -
$3.00
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 160.4% below Wall St target ($7.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.84 -
$3.00
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.64
Resistance Level
$2.94
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.79
Wall Street Target
$7.50
(+160.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.6%
Profit Margin
-3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-19.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 36.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-19.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.59
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$2.33
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.10
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19â36)
$4.06
(+41%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 36.3
Stabilization Target:
$5.56
(+93.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+93.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 12:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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