CVGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CVGI - Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.

MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & ACCESSORIES
$4.40
-0.45 (-9.28%) ▼
5d: -7.17%
30d: -20.58%
90d: +25.0%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026 30d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CVGI trades at premium valuation expecting 5.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CVGI is currently trading at $4.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.76 to $5.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 50.8) compared to its historical average (43.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CVGI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.17 (+62.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $4.76 - $5.35
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.3%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 62.9% below Wall St target ($7.17)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.0% growth which is achievable
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.2% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $4.76 - $5.35
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.69
Resistance Level $5.88
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 12, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 50.75
Wall Street Target $7.17 (+62.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 28.6%
Profit Margin -2.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.0% premium
PE vs Historical 50.8 vs 43.8 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $4.62 (+5%)
2-Year Target $4.85 (+10%)
3-Year Target $5.09 (+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 51→44) PE COMPRESSION $4.40 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: July 02, 2026 10:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:40 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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