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Dana (DAN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$23.19
-0.70 (-2.93%) ▼
5d: -2.23% 30d: -18.49% 90d: -23.54%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
60/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$23.84 – $28.92
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
6.8x CHEAP
vs 9.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$35.67
+53.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$21.46 / $26.25
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DAN trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.07
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.02
43.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DAN is currently trading at $23.19, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.84 to $28.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.8) compared to its historical average (9.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DAN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.46, while resistance sits at $26.25.

Market Sentiment: DAN scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.67 (+53.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $23.84 - $28.92
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $23.84 - $28.92
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $21.46
Resistance Level $26.25
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 53.8% below Wall St target ($35.67)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.77
Wall Street Target $35.67 (+53.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -77.6%
Profit Margin 13.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -11.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 6.8 vs 9.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -11.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $20.87 (-10%)
2-Year Target $18.78 (-19%)
3-Year Target $16.91 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→10) $24.73 (+7%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 87.0%) $229.70 (+891%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 87.0%) $78.27 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 5.8, Growth: 87.0%) $66.53 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.8 to 9.9
Stabilization Target: $33.93 (+46.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +46.3%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DAN)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 23, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. announced the unification of its brand architecture following the acquisition of Dana's Off-Highway Drive & Motion Systems business. The combined company will operate under the Allison name, with established product brands retained.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:15 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive DAN Research Pages
DAN Technical Chart DAN Price Prediction DAN Intrinsic Value DCF DAN Earnings Date Why is DAN Moving Today? DAN Investment Advisor DAN Fair Price Analyzer DAN Options Chain DAN Options Advisor DAN Options Analysis DAN Competitors
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