DAN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DAN - Dana Incorporated

MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & ACCESSORIES
$31.72
0.97 (3.15%) ▲
5d: +4.51%
30d: +14.8%
90d: -6.32%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DAN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.43
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.67
40.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DAN is currently trading at $31.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.65 to $29.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.8) compared to its historical average (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5660.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DAN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: DAN scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.43 (+18.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $26.65 - $29.51
Company Quality Score 35/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 26.2%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.5% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($37.43)
  • WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $26.65 - $29.51
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $28.18
Resistance Level $31.93
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.79
Wall Street Target $37.43 (+18.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 5660.4%
Profit Margin 14.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -10.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.8 vs 10.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -10.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $28.55 (-10%)
2-Year Target $25.69 (-19%)
3-Year Target $23.12 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→11) $32.35 (+2%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 111.9%) $275.81 (+770%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 111.9%) $107.06 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 6.6, Growth: 111.9%) $91.00 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 10.9
Stabilization Target: $44.38 (+39.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +39.9%
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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