Dana (DAN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DAN - Dana Incorporated

MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & ACCESSORIES
$27.88
0.25 (0.90%) ▲
5d: +2.73%
30d: -9.1%
90d: +6.7%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DAN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.78
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.64
47.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DAN is currently trading at $27.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.90 to $31.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.7) compared to its historical average (10.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5660.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DAN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.34, while resistance sits at $30.61.

Market Sentiment: DAN scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.00 (+39.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $28.90 - $31.29
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 39.9% below Wall St target ($39.00)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 26% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $28.90 - $31.29
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $26.34
Resistance Level $30.62
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.66
Wall Street Target $39.00 (+39.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 5660.4%
Profit Margin 14.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -13.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 6.7 vs 10.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -13.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $25.09 (-10%)
2-Year Target $22.58 (-19%)
3-Year Target $20.32 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→10) $31.74 (+14%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 120.4%) $288.22 (+934%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 120.4%) $94.09 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 5.7, Growth: 120.4%) $79.98 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.7 to 10.4
Stabilization Target: $43.54 (+56.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +56.2%
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 7:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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