Leonardo DRS (DRS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DRS - Leonardo DRS, Inc. Common Stock

SEARCH, DETECTION, NAVAGATION, GUIDANCE, AERONAUTICAL SYS
$36.80
0.04 (0.11%) ▲
5d: -0.97%
30d: -0.59%
90d: -18.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: DRS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.03
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.20
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DRS is currently trading at $36.80, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.42 to $37.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.1) compared to its historical average (30.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 60.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DRS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.82 (+46.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $36.42 - $37.93
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.7%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 46.2% below Wall St target ($53.82)
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $36.42 - $37.93
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) Âą$2.24 (6.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $35.99
Resistance Level $38.25
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.08
Wall Street Target $53.82 (+46.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 60.0%
Profit Margin 8.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 25.1 vs 30.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $34.59 (-6%)
2-Year Target $32.52 (-12%)
3-Year Target $30.57 (-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25→30) $36.80 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 25.1, Growth: 6.2%) $44.11 (+20%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 6.2%) $35.88 (-3%)
Bear: (PE: 17.3, Growth: 6.2%) $30.50 (-17%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.19
Bull Case $49.86 (+36%)
Analyst growth 23.3%, PE expands to 34.0
Base Case $45.32 (+23%)
Market implied 23.3%, PE stable at 30.9
Bear Case $25.00 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.1 to 30.2
Stabilization Target: $44.31 (+20.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +20.4%
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Last updated: October 03, 2026 8:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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