ESLT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESLT - Elbit Systems Ltd
$829.81
-19.34 (-2.28%)
▼
5d:
+0.12%
30d:
-3.26%
90d:
-6.24%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 26, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ESLT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ESLT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$722.93
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$448.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESLT is currently trading at $829.81, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $775.71 to $853.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 45.9) is in line with its historical norms (49.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 42.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESLT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $751.78, while resistance sits at $902.18.
Market Sentiment: ESLT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (5th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESLT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $751.78, while resistance sits at $902.18.
Market Sentiment: ESLT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (5th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$775.71 -
$853.17
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
5th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 5th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($880.17)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$775.71 -
$853.17
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$51.66
(6.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$751.78
Resistance Level
$902.18
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
45.94
Wall Street Target
$880.17
(+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
42.1%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
45.9 vs 49.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$810.72
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$792.08
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$773.86
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 46→49)
$830.43
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 45.9, Growth: 15.9%)
$1291.53
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 15.9%)
$615.94
(-26%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 15.9%)
$523.55
(-37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 9.66 | Forward EPS (Implied): $92.39
Bull Case
$1077.85
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.1
Base Case
$892.63
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$682.86
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 45.9 to 49.3
Stabilization Target:
$890.47
(+7.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 8:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESLT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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25514 shares
2026-04-09
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7654 shares
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Advanced ESLT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ESLT price and gamma walls.
