What is the fair value of ESLT stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ESLT to be between $739.11 and $804.88. The current price is $830.15.

What is the analyst price target for ESLT?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ESLT is $846.33. This implies a potential upside of 4.7% from current levels.

ESLT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ESLT - Elbit Systems Ltd

Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC

$830.15

21.50 (2.66%) ▲

5d: +2.13%

30d: +3.35%

90d: -0.13%

BUY

MODERATE Confidence

Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 11, 2026 7d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ESLT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% decline. Moderate conviction.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 15.9%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$722.93

Based on 10.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$448.88

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ESLT is currently trading at $830.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $739.11 to $804.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 44.8) is in line with its historical norms (47.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 42.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ESLT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $831.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ESLT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (15th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $739.11 - $804.88

Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)

Options IV Signal 15th percentile (LOW)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 65.4%

All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 15th percentile)
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($846.33)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $739.11 - $804.88

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$60.14 (7.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $758.70

Resistance Level $831.08

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Aug 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 44.77

Wall Street Target $846.33 (+4.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 42.1%

Profit Margin 7.1%

Valuation Discount vs History -2.2% cheaper

PE vs Historical 44.8 vs 47.9 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -2.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $790.86 (-2%)

2-Year Target $773.46 (-4%)

3-Year Target $756.44 (-7%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 45→48) $809.32 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 44.8, Growth: 15.9%) $1258.59 (+56%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 15.9%) $582.77 (-28%)

Bear: (PE: 17.6, Growth: 15.9%) $495.35 (-39%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Forward PE: 9.66 | Forward EPS (Implied): $83.70

Bull Case $976.44 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.1

Base Case $808.65 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.7

Bear Case $618.62 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 44.8 to 47.9

Stabilization Target: $865.18 (+7.0%)

PE Expansion Potential: +7.0%

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Last updated: August 03, 2026 4:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Bezhalel Machlis SELL 25514 shares 2026-04-09

Haim Daniel Delmar SELL 7654 shares 2026-04-09

Jonathan Ariel SELL 7654 shares 2026-04-09

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Advanced ESLT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ESLT price and gamma walls.

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Elbit Systems Ltd

Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC

About

Elbit Systems Ltd is a technology company involved in producing a portfolio of systems and products for aircraft, land, and naval applications. The company's products are used for defense, homeland security, and commercial flight capabilities. Its systems and solutions may be installed on new platforms, or it may perform a comprehensive modernization program to transform a platform. Elbit Systems gives instructions to its customers on the proper maintenance of its products and will provide support team specialists when the customer cannot fix a problem. The company markets its systems and products as a prime contractor or as a subcontractor to government, defense, and homeland security contractors world wide.

Exchange: XNAS

Market Cap: $23,420,214,125

Employees: 19,712

Listed Since: 1996-11-27

Website: Visit

CIK: 0001027664

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