Evercore (EVR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EVR - Evercore Inc.

INVESTMENT ADVICE
$255.39
3.38 (1.34%) ▲
5d: -0.48%
30d: -1.73%
90d: -24.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026 4d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: EVR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$486.96
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$302.36
15.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EVR is currently trading at $255.39, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $255.15 to $268.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.3) compared to its historical average (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EVR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $245.47, while resistance sits at $275.07.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (18th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $332.20 (+30.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $255.15 - $268.41
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 18th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 18th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 30.1% below Wall St target ($332.20)
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $255.15 - $268.41
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) Âą$13.91 (5.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $245.47
Resistance Level $275.07
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.26
Wall Street Target $332.20 (+30.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -1.7%
Profit Margin 15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.3 vs 14.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $239.56 (-6%)
2-Year Target $224.70 (-12%)
3-Year Target $210.77 (-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→15) $256.09 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.0%) $628.52 (+146%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 15.0%) $388.09 (+52%)
Bear: (PE: 10.4, Growth: 15.0%) $329.88 (+29%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.76
Bull Case $325.07 (+27%)
Analyst growth 17.3%, PE expands to 15.6
Base Case $295.52 (+16%)
Market implied 17.3%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case $171.37 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 14.9
Stabilization Target: $310.31 (+21.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +21.5%
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced EVR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EVR price and gamma walls.

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