EXC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXC - Exelon Corporation
$45.08
0.08 (0.18%)
▲
5d:
-2.4%
30d:
-3.28%
90d:
-8.47%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EXC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EXC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.04
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXC is currently trading at $45.08, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.32 to $46.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.8) is in line with its historical norms (15.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EXC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EXC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$44.32 -
$46.32
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($49.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.32 -
$46.32
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.60
Resistance Level
$46.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.84
Wall Street Target
$49.33
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.3%
Profit Margin
11.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 15.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.36
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$43.65
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$42.95
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$45.15
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 6.4%)
$80.08
(+78%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 6.4%)
$54.24
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 6.4%)
$46.11
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.73
Bull Case
$56.13
(+23%)
Analyst growth 11.3%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$51.03
(+12%)
Market implied 11.3%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$31.19
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.8 to 15.6
Stabilization Target:
$47.38
(+5.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EXC price and gamma walls.
