Exelon (EXC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXC - Exelon Corporation
$44.43
-0.42 (-0.94%)
▼
5d:
+2.14%
30d:
+10.52%
90d:
-5.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EXC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EXC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.11
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXC is currently trading at $44.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.76 to $43.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.7) is in line with its historical norms (15.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EXC scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EXC scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$40.76 -
$43.10
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EXC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($48.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.76 -
$43.10
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.54
Resistance Level
$44.88
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.65
Wall Street Target
$48.00
(+8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.2%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 15.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.90
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$43.37
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$42.85
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$44.46
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.2%)
$72.10
(+62%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 6.2%)
$53.18
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 6.2%)
$45.20
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.72
Bull Case
$55.01
(+24%)
Analyst growth 11.5%, PE expands to 18.1
Base Case
$50.01
(+13%)
Market implied 11.5%, PE stable at 16.5
Bear Case
$30.50
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 15.2
Stabilization Target:
$46.10
(+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 8:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:26 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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