Exelon (EXC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$46.25
+0.62 (+1.36%)
▲
5d:
+1.38%
30d:
+8.87%
90d:
+1.49%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
0d
Protect EXC Gains
Updated Nov 13, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
48/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$42.33 – $45.89
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.3x
FAIR
vs 15.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$47.76
+3.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$45.05 / $47.05
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EXC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 2, 2026 at $45.91 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 4.7/10
Get Alerted When EXC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.40
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXC is currently trading at $46.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.33 to $45.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EXC scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EXC scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$42.33 -
$45.89
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$42.33 -
$45.89
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$45.05
Resistance Level
$47.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding EXC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($47.76)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with 9.2% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.25
Wall Street Target
$47.76
(+3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.6%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 15.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.34
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$46.44
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$46.53
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.37
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.7%)
$71.18
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 5.7%)
$54.66
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 5.7%)
$46.46
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.56
Bull Case
$60.17
(+30%)
Analyst growth 18.4%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case
$54.70
(+18%)
Market implied 18.4%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case
$31.40
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share EXC Analysis
Share this live EXC analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (EXC)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Exelon (EXC) beat earnings and revenue estimates for Q3 2026, reporting an adjusted EPS of $0.87 versus the expected $0.79 and revenue of $7.32B versus $6.76B. The company highlighted its commitment to a $41.7 billion five-year capital plan and its rates remaining below the national average.
Key Retail Themes:
Earnings beat
Capital investment
Utility rates
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 11:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:43 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is EXC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Utilities - Regulated Electric Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Utilities - Regulated Electric by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AEP
American Electric Power … |
BUY
24 analysts |
$143 | 61 BUY |
|
XEL
Xcel Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$90 | 48 HOLD |
|
PPL
PPL Corporation |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$40 | 56 HOLD |
|
ETR
Entergy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$120 | 38 SELL |
|
NEE
Nextera Energy Inc |
BUY
22 analysts |
$94 | 42 HOLD |
Advanced EXC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EXC price and gamma walls.
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive EXC Research Pages
