FIGR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FIGR - Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock

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$24.91
-0.90 (-3.49%) ▼
5d: -9.71%
30d: -23.75%
90d: -29.03%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your FIGR Gains
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026 9d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 6.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FIGR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.76
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.52
21.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FIGR is currently trading at $24.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.02 to $31.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.7) compared to its historical average (24.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 277.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FIGR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: FIGR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.00 (+104.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $27.02 - $31.92
Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 104.7% below Wall St target ($51.00)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-9.7%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $27.02 - $31.92
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $24.28
Resistance Level $33.49
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.67
Wall Street Target $51.00 (+104.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 119.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 277.8%
Profit Margin 35.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -10.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.7 vs 24.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -10.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $22.42 (-10%)
2-Year Target $20.18 (-19%)
3-Year Target $18.16 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→25) $25.29 (+2%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 11.9%) $40.96 (+64%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 11.9%) $34.91 (+40%)
Bear: (PE: 15.0, Growth: 11.9%) $29.67 (+19%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.85
Bull Case $47.10 (+89%)
Analyst growth 65.9%, PE expands to 33.4
Base Case $42.81 (+72%)
Market implied 65.9%, PE stable at 30.4
Bear Case $17.55 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.7 to 24.6
Stabilization Target: $34.69 (+39.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +39.2%
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Last updated: August 02, 2026 8:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael Scott Cagney SELL 67840 shares 2026-04-15
June Ou SELL 67840 shares 2026-04-15
David Todd Stevens SELL 49708 shares 2026-03-19

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