MRCY
Mercury Systems Inc.
ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS & ACCESSORIES
Mercury Systems (MRCY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$83.43
-4.90 (-5.55%)
▼
5d:
+27.28%
30d:
+10.23%
90d:
-24.92%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
0d
Protect MRCY Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
42/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$73.70 – $82.19
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
58.6x
FAIR
vs 58.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$109.00
+23.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$64.37 / $89.08
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MRCY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Get Alerted When MRCY Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$73.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MRCY is currently trading at $83.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.70 to $82.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 58.6) is in line with its historical norms (58.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRCY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $64.37, while resistance sits at $89.08. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: MRCY scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.00 (+23.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRCY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $64.37, while resistance sits at $89.08. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: MRCY scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.00 (+23.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$73.70 -
$82.19
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$73.70 -
$82.19
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$64.37
Resistance Level
$89.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding MRCY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 23.4% below Wall St target ($109.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with 6.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
58.64
Wall Street Target
$109.00
(+23.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-96.7%
Profit Margin
-3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
58.6 vs 58.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.51
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$88.68
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$88.86
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 59→58)
PE COMPRESSION
$88.50
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 58.6, Growth: 40.3%)
$243.96
(+176%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 40.3%)
$82.62
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 40.3%)
$70.23
(-21%)
Share MRCY Analysis
Share this live MRCY analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MRCY)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits shows bullish sentiment towards $MRCY with one user predicting a bounce within an uptrend.
Key Retail Themes:
Uptrend
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:02 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MRCY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BA
The Boeing Company |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$233 | 71 BUY |
|
KTOS
Kratos Defense & Securit… |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$88 | 62 BUY |
|
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$296 | 51 HOLD |
|
AXON
Axon Enterprise Inc. |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$561 | 50 HOLD |
|
NOC
Northrop Grumman Corpora… |
BUY
26 analysts |
$636 | 52 HOLD |
Advanced MRCY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MRCY price and gamma walls.
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive MRCY Research Pages
