MSC Income Fund (MSIF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MSIF - MSC Income Fund, Inc.
$12.49
0.09 (0.73%)
â˛
5d:
-0.79%
30d:
+1.22%
90d:
+6.57%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MSIF is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MSIF is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.04
Based on 4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MSIF is currently trading at $12.49, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.12 to $12.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSIF is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $12.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.21 (+13.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSIF is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $12.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.21 (+13.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$12.12 -
$12.78
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.21)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.12 -
$12.78
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.30
Resistance Level
$13.02
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.61
Wall Street Target
$14.21
(+13.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
86.5%
Profit Margin
70.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.58
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$12.67
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$12.75
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â8)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.44
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 4.6%)
$33.46
(+168%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 4.6%)
$14.29
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 4.6%)
$12.15
(-3%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.12
Bull Case
$9.33
(-25%)
Analyst growth -31.6%, PE expands to 6.4
Base Case
$8.48
(-32%)
Market implied -31.6%, PE stable at 5.9
Bear Case
$8.43
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 1:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MSIF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Cory Gilbert
BUY
825 shares
2026-03-31
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