NTGR
NETGEAR, Inc.
TELEPHONE & TELEGRAPH APPARATUS
NETGEAR (NTGR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$19.51
-0.58 (-2.89%)
▼
5d:
+3.34%
30d:
-12.55%
90d:
-13.71%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (92%)
Quality Score
56/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$20.57 – $23.46
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
35.8x
CHEAP
vs 50.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$31.67
+62.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
24th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$18.63 / $22.93
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NTGR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.45
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NTGR is currently trading at $19.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.57 to $23.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 35.8) compared to its historical average (50.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTGR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.63, while resistance sits at $22.93.
Market Sentiment: NTGR scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (24th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.67 (+62.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTGR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.63, while resistance sits at $22.93.
Market Sentiment: NTGR scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (24th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.67 (+62.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.57 -
$23.46
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
24th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
92.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$20.57 -
$23.46
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.26
(6.4%)
Support Level
$18.63
Resistance Level
$22.93
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 24th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 62.3% below Wall St target ($31.67)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.80
Wall Street Target
$31.67
(+62.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-68.7%
Profit Margin
-4.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
35.8 vs 50.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.56
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.80
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$14.22
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→50)
$19.98
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.8, Growth: 17.2%)
$31.41
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.2%)
$17.43
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 17.2%)
$14.81
(-24%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.8 to 50.3
Stabilization Target:
$27.41
(+40.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NTGR)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 25, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment dominates on StockTwits regarding $NTGR with no new information in Yahoo Finance news.
Key Retail Themes:
Company's poor performance
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 5:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NTGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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