OPXS
Optex Systems Holdings, INC
OPTICAL INSTRUMENTS & LENSES
Optex Systems (OPXS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$8.68
+0.24 (+2.84%)
▲
5d:
-2.58%
30d:
-12.5%
90d:
-26.44%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$8.86 – $10.08
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.6x
CHEAP
vs 12.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$15.90
+83.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$7.51 / $9.50
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OPXS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.11
Based on 4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OPXS is currently trading at $8.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.86 to $10.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.6) compared to its historical average (12.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OPXS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.50, while resistance sits at $9.50.
Market Sentiment: OPXS scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.90 (+83.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OPXS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.50, while resistance sits at $9.50.
Market Sentiment: OPXS scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.90 (+83.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.86 -
$10.08
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$8.86 -
$10.08
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$7.51
Resistance Level
$9.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 83.2% below Wall St target ($15.90)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.59
Wall Street Target
$15.90
(+83.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.9%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 12.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.14
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$7.64
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$7.16
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$8.66
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.1%)
$18.92
(+118%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 5.1%)
$10.09
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 5.1%)
$8.57
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.55
Bull Case
$13.84
(+60%)
Analyst growth 49.1%, PE expands to 16.9
Base Case
$12.58
(+45%)
Market implied 49.1%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case
$5.74
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.6 to 12.8
Stabilization Target:
$10.50
(+20.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (OPXS)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
May 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
The latest Zacks Analyst Blog discusses UnitedHealth's outperformance in the medical-HMOs industry and growth expectations, alongside mentions of Merck, Qualcomm, EVI, and Optex Systems.
Key Retail Themes:
UnitedHealth's growth and industry outperformance
Mentions of Merck, Qualcomm, EVI, and Optex Systems
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OPXS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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