SAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAR - SARATOGA INVESTMENT CORP. NEW
$22.10
-0.13 (-0.58%)
▼
5d:
-0.54%
30d:
-0.58%
90d:
+1.52%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 14, 2026
19d
Get Alerted When SAR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SAR is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SAR is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.03
Based on 0.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAR is currently trading at $22.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.10 to $22.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SAR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SAR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.10 -
$22.51
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.20)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.10 -
$22.51
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.02
Resistance Level
$22.92
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.44
Wall Street Target
$23.20
(+5.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Profit Margin
29.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 9.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.17
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$22.23
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$22.30
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.19
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -2.1%)
$47.75
(+116%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: -2.1%)
$20.71
(-6%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: -2.1%)
$17.60
(-20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.31
Bull Case
$24.77
(+12%)
Analyst growth 1.3%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$22.52
(+2%)
Market implied 1.3%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$15.12
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 6:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KKR
KKR & Co. Inc. |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$126 | 51 HOLD |
|
BLK
BlackRock Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$1246 | 56 HOLD |
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$150 | 54 HOLD |
|
BX
Blackstone Group Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$143 | 51 HOLD |
|
CRBG
Corebridge Financial Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$35 | 61 BUY |
