SARO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SARO - StandardAero, Inc.
$25.06
-0.17 (-0.67%)
▼
5d:
-10.18%
30d:
-11.32%
90d:
-4.02%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SARO is down 10.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SARO is down 10.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.68
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.06
32.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SARO is currently trading at $25.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.59 to $29.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (20.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 45.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SARO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SARO scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.88 (+31.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SARO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SARO scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.88 (+31.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$26.59 -
$29.53
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SARO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.0% below Wall St target ($35.88)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.59 -
$29.53
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.00
Resistance Level
$30.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.41
Wall Street Target
$35.88
(+31.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
45.0%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 20.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.35
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$25.35
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$24.38
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→21)
$27.29
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 25.5%)
$59.14
(+116%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 25.5%)
$54.14
(+98%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 25.5%)
$46.02
(+68%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.97
Bull Case
$47.07
(+88%)
Analyst growth 53.4%, PE expands to 31.6
Base Case
$42.79
(+71%)
Market implied 53.4%, PE stable at 28.8
Bear Case
$18.97
(-24%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.4 to 20.6
Stabilization Target:
$30.65
(+11.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 8:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SARO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anthony Brancato
SELL
1107 shares
2026-04-16
Daniel Satterfield
SELL
2306 shares
2026-04-16
Gregory Clemens Krekeler
SELL
390 shares
2026-04-16
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SARO price and gamma walls.
