StandardAero (SARO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SARO - StandardAero, Inc.
$21.78
0.06 (0.28%)
â˛
5d:
+2.21%
30d:
-1.8%
90d:
-26.24%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
11d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 20, 2026 at $21.43 · last confirmed Oct 21, 2026
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SARO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SARO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.71
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.59
37.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SARO is currently trading at $21.78, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.54 to $22.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (19.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 45.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SARO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.03 (+56.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SARO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.03 (+56.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$20.54 -
$22.65
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SARO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 56.2% below Wall St target ($34.03)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.54 -
$22.65
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.56
Resistance Level
$22.14
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.83
Wall Street Target
$34.03
(+56.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
45.0%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 19.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.86
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$18.12
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$16.52
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â20)
$21.84
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 24.7%)
$56.63
(+160%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 24.7%)
$42.28
(+94%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 24.7%)
$35.94
(+65%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.98
Bull Case
$35.81
(+64%)
Analyst growth 49.9%, PE expands to 24.4
Base Case
$32.55
(+50%)
Market implied 49.9%, PE stable at 22.2
Bear Case
$14.77
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.8 to 19.6
Stabilization Target:
$28.79
(+32.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 11:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SARO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SARO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SARO price and gamma walls.
