SARO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SARO - StandardAero, Inc.
$26.85
-0.41 (-1.50%)
▼
5d:
-0.48%
30d:
+2.83%
90d:
+2.72%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SARO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.7% annual earnings decline despite 26% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SARO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.7% annual earnings decline despite 26% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.57
28.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SARO is currently trading at $26.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.32 to $27.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.1) compared to its historical average (21.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 26.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SARO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $24.73, while resistance sits at $28.13.
Market Sentiment: SARO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.61 (+32.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SARO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $24.73, while resistance sits at $28.13.
Market Sentiment: SARO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.61 (+32.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$25.32 -
$27.47
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.6% below Wall St target ($35.61)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.32 -
$27.47
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.73
Resistance Level
$28.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.15
Wall Street Target
$35.61
(+32.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.3%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.2 vs 21.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.59
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$24.39
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$23.24
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→21)
$26.90
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 25.8%)
$64.17
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: 25.8%)
$53.46
(+99%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: 25.8%)
$45.44
(+69%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.88
Bull Case
$51.33
(+91%)
Analyst growth 68.1%, PE expands to 34.7
Base Case
$46.66
(+74%)
Market implied 68.1%, PE stable at 31.5
Bear Case
$18.87
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.1 to 21.0
Stabilization Target:
$31.07
(+15.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 9:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SARO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anthony Brancato
SELL
1107 shares
2026-04-16
Daniel Satterfield
SELL
2306 shares
2026-04-16
Gregory Clemens Krekeler
SELL
390 shares
2026-04-16
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