SCVL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCVL - Shoe Carnival Inc
$17.43
0.78 (4.68%)
â˛
5d:
+1.4%
30d:
+6.93%
90d:
-4.02%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SCVL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SCVL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.96
Based on -9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCVL is currently trading at $17.43, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCVL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: SCVL scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+26.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCVL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: SCVL scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+26.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
86.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 26.2% below Wall St target ($22.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.0% growth with -2.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.07
Resistance Level
$17.92
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.78
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+26.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.9%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.78
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$18.13
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$18.50
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â11)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.43
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -22.1%)
$23.65
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: -22.1%)
$12.71
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: -22.1%)
$10.80
(-38%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCVL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
W Kerry Jackson
BUY
31000 shares
2026-04-02
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