Smith & Wesson Brands (SWBI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SWBI - Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. Common Stock
$13.15
-0.14 (-1.05%)
▼
5d:
+7.17%
30d:
-7.33%
90d:
-10.24%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When SWBI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SWBI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SWBI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.80
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SWBI is currently trading at $13.15, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.06 to $14.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 39.9) is in line with its historical norms (41.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 86.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWBI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.09, while resistance sits at $14.12.
Market Sentiment: SWBI scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.25 (+31.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWBI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.09, while resistance sits at $14.12.
Market Sentiment: SWBI scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.25 (+31.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$13.06 -
$14.53
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (82/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.2% below Wall St target ($17.25)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 82/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.06 -
$14.53
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.09
Resistance Level
$14.12
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
39.85
Wall Street Target
$17.25
(+31.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
86.7%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
39.9 vs 41.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.03
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$12.91
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$12.80
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 40→41)
$13.17
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 39.8, Growth: 17.9%)
$21.53
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 17.9%)
$10.90
(-17%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 17.9%)
$9.26
(-30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 24.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.55
Bull Case
$8.77
(-33%)
Analyst growth -40.0%, PE expands to 26.6
Base Case
$7.97
(-39%)
Market implied -40.0%, PE stable at 24.2
Bear Case
$9.04
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 39.8 to 41.0
Stabilization Target:
$13.53
(+2.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SWBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BA
The Boeing Company |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$275 | 61 BUY |
|
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$337 | 47 HOLD |
|
RTX
RTX Corporation |
BUY
24 analysts |
$235 | 60 BUY |
|
TDG
Transdigm Group Incorpor… |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$1523 | 49 HOLD |
|
AVAV
AeroVironment Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$226 | 61 BUY |
Advanced SWBI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SWBI price and gamma walls.
