SWBI Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. Common Stock ORDNANCE & ACCESSORIES, (NO VEHICLES/GUIDED MISSILES)

Smith & Wesson Brands (SWBI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$15.83
+0.23 (+1.47%) ▲
5d: +9.25% 30d: +11.32% 90d: +10.39%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (28%)
Quality Score
36/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$13.67 – $14.93
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
48.0x STRETCHED
vs 41.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$17.25
+9.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
61th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$13.12 / $16.17
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SWBI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

Get Alerted When SWBI Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.80
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.57
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SWBI is currently trading at $15.83, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.67 to $14.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 48.0) compared to its historical average (41.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SWBI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: SWBI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $13.67 - $14.93
Company Quality Score 36/100 (SELL)
Options IV Signal 61th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 28.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $13.67 - $14.93
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.28 (8.1%)
Support Level $13.12
Resistance Level $16.17
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Protect Your Profits

Holding SWBI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.0% above its trading range)
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 61th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($17.25)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.1% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 47.97
Wall Street Target $17.25 (+9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 32.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 86.7%
Profit Margin 4.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.1% premium
PE vs Historical 48.0 vs 41.3 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $16.64 (+5%)
2-Year Target $17.49 (+11%)
3-Year Target $18.38 (+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 48→41) PE COMPRESSION $15.82 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 48.0, Growth: 17.9%) $25.91 (+64%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.9%) $10.73 (-32%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 17.9%) $9.12 (-42%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 28.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.54
Bull Case $10.49 (-34%)
Analyst growth -38.9%, PE expands to 31.8
Base Case $9.53 (-40%)
Market implied -38.9%, PE stable at 28.9
Bear Case $10.61 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share SWBI Analysis

Share this live SWBI analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.

Reddit StockTwits X / Twitter
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SWBI)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Bullish sentiment prevails on StockTwits with one user expressing a desire to re-enter $SWBI.
Key Retail Themes: Buy interest
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
See Full Scanner Results »
Technical Signals Check

Is SWBI showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for SWBI.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.

Stock Analyst Consensus Analyst Target Tradestie Score
BA
The Boeing Company 		STRONG BUY
28 analysts 		$233 67 BUY
KTOS
Kratos Defense & Securit… 		STRONG BUY
25 analysts 		$88 58 HOLD
AVAV
AeroVironment Inc 		STRONG BUY
24 analysts 		$212 53 HOLD
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc 		STRONG BUY
22 analysts 		$296 45 HOLD
NOC
Northrop Grumman Corpora… 		BUY
26 analysts 		$636 53 HOLD
BA The Boeing Company
67 BUY
KTOS Kratos Defense & …
58 HOLD
AVAV AeroVironment Inc
53 HOLD
HWM Howmet Aerospace …
45 HOLD
NOC Northrop Grumman …
53 HOLD

Advanced SWBI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SWBI price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools

Part A: Deep-Dive SWBI Research Pages
SWBI Technical Chart SWBI Price Prediction SWBI Intrinsic Value DCF SWBI Earnings Date Why is SWBI Moving Today? SWBI Investment Advisor SWBI Fair Price Analyzer SWBI Options Chain SWBI Options Advisor SWBI Options Analysis SWBI Competitors
Part B: Tradestie Flagship Market Scanners
Today's Best Signals (SWBI) Sector Rotation Monitor AI Supply Chain Money Flow Gamma Squeeze (GEX) Scanner Undervalued Stocks Scanner Insider Cluster Buying Reddit & WSB Sentiment Tracker Backtested Stock Scanner
Compare SWBI with Peers
SWBI vs RGR
Which one to buy?
SWBI vs AOUT
Which one to buy?
SWBI vs POWW
Which one to buy?
SWBI vs SPWH
Which one to buy?
SWBI vs OLN
Which one to buy?
SWBI vs POWWP
Winner: POWWP
SWBI vs RCAT
SWBI vs SATL
MOB vs SWBI
Winner: Tie
ABOS vs SWBI
Winner: SWBI
PRZO vs SWBI
Winner: SWBI
XTIA vs SWBI
SWBI vs POWW
KITT vs SWBI
RGR vs SWBI
Create New Comparison View All Competitors
Live Trades
From trading groups
Loading trades...
View All Live Trades See Trader Consensus & Signals