Textron (TXT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TXT - Textron, Inc.
$76.84
-1.20 (-1.54%)
âŧ
5d:
+1.2%
30d:
+1.08%
90d:
-20.07%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 23, 2026 at $76.77 · last confirmed Oct 23, 2026
Strength: 4.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TXT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TXT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$129.44
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.37
4.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TXT is currently trading at $76.84, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.66 to $79.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (12.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $78.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.47 (+27.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $78.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.47 (+27.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$74.66 -
$79.08
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TXT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.5% below Wall St target ($99.47)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.66 -
$79.08
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.57
Resistance Level
$78.29
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.80
Wall Street Target
$99.47
(+27.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Profit Margin
6.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 12.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.76
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$71.62
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$68.61
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â12)
$78.12
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.7%)
$200.07
(+156%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 11.7%)
$108.84
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 11.7%)
$92.51
(+19%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.31
Bull Case
$115.64
(+48%)
Analyst growth 36.0%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$105.13
(+35%)
Market implied 36.0%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$52.55
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.8 to 12.3
Stabilization Target:
$88.85
(+13.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TXT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TXT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TXT price and gamma walls.
