TXT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TXT - Textron, Inc.
$91.38
0.01 (0.01%)
▲
5d:
-1.02%
30d:
+0.48%
90d:
-7.99%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TXT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TXT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$136.24
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TXT is currently trading at $91.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.15 to $92.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.5) is in line with its historical norms (12.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $93.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TXT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.45 (+13.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $93.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TXT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.45 (+13.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$89.15 -
$92.89
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($103.45)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$89.15 -
$92.89
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$87.83
Resistance Level
$93.62
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.52
Wall Street Target
$103.45
(+13.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 12.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$90.92
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$90.47
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$90.02
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$91.29
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 12.1%)
$224.93
(+146%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 12.1%)
$128.57
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 12.1%)
$109.28
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.24
Bull Case
$141.41
(+54%)
Analyst growth 39.2%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$128.56
(+40%)
Market implied 39.2%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$62.78
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 12.7
Stabilization Target:
$92.67
(+1.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 8:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TXT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
E Robert Lupone
SELL
28056 shares
2026-02-17
Mark S Bamford
SELL
19808 shares
2026-02-17
Julie G Duffy
SELL
19857 shares
2026-02-13
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