TXT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TXT - Textron, Inc.
$82.95
-1.42 (-1.68%)
▼
5d:
-6.8%
30d:
-10.99%
90d:
-8.08%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When TXT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TXT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TXT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$133.62
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$82.97
0.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TXT is currently trading at $82.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.10 to $91.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $82.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TXT scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.89 (+20.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $82.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TXT scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.89 (+20.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$86.10 -
$91.81
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TXT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.8% below Wall St target ($101.89)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.10 -
$91.81
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$82.68
Resistance Level
$90.25
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.67
Wall Street Target
$101.89
(+20.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Profit Margin
6.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.18
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$80.04
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$77.96
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$84.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.0%)
$204.02
(+142%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 12.0%)
$118.63
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 12.0%)
$100.83
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.26
Bull Case
$130.47
(+57%)
Analyst growth 37.5%, PE expands to 18.1
Base Case
$118.61
(+43%)
Market implied 37.5%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$58.68
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 12.6
Stabilization Target:
$91.10
(+8.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 2:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TXT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$337 | 52 HOLD |
|
BA
The Boeing Company |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$275 | 44 HOLD |
|
TDG
Transdigm Group Incorpor… |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$1523 | 53 HOLD |
|
GE
GE Aerospace |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$405 | 50 HOLD |
|
RTX
RTX Corporation |
BUY
24 analysts |
$235 | 43 HOLD |
Advanced TXT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TXT price and gamma walls.
