TXT
Textron, Inc.
AIRCRAFT & PARTS
Textron (TXT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$84.31
-1.63 (-1.90%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.08%
30d:
+14.24%
90d:
-5.27%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
Protect TXT Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (43%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$74.61 â $84.99
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.7x
FAIR
vs 12.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$101.40
+20.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$83.15 / $89.17
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TXT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Get Alerted When TXT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$119.56
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TXT is currently trading at $84.31, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.61 to $84.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $83.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TXT scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.40 (+20.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $83.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TXT scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.40 (+20.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$74.61 -
$84.99
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$74.61 -
$84.99
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$83.15
Resistance Level
$89.17
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding TXT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.3% below Wall St target ($101.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.70
Wall Street Target
$101.40
(+20.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.1%
Profit Margin
6.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 12.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.13
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$81.97
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$80.82
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â12)
$84.29
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.7%)
$183.91
(+118%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 8.7%)
$108.32
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 8.7%)
$92.07
(+9%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.56
Bull Case
$123.80
(+44%)
Analyst growth 29.6%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$112.54
(+31%)
Market implied 29.6%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$59.04
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$87.93
(+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.3%
Share TXT Analysis
Share this live TXT analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TXT)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message highlights the Beechcraft M-346N as the only remaining jet trainer in the Navy's competition, implying potential business opportunities for $TXT.
Key Retail Themes:
Navy jet trainer competition
Beechcraft M-346N
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 PM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TXT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BA
The Boeing Company |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$233 | 71 BUY |
|
KTOS
Kratos Defense & SecuritâĻ |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$88 | 62 BUY |
|
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$296 | 51 HOLD |
|
AXON
Axon Enterprise Inc. |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$561 | 50 HOLD |
|
RKLB
Rocket Lab USA Inc. |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$102 | 48 HOLD |
Advanced TXT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TXT price and gamma walls.
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive TXT Research Pages
