Udemy (UDMY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$4.63
-0.40 (-7.95%)
âŧ
5d:
-6.09%
30d:
+3.58%
90d:
-1.28%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (63%)
Quality Score
42/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.0x
CHEAP
vs 9.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$7.60
+64.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$4.19 / $5.17
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UDMY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.56
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.18
35.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UDMY is currently trading at $4.63, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.0) compared to its historical average (9.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDMY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.19, while resistance sits at $5.17. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.60 (+64.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDMY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.19, while resistance sits at $5.17. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.60 (+64.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
62.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
Support Level
$4.19
Resistance Level
$5.17
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 64.2% below Wall St target ($7.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.02
Wall Street Target
$7.60
(+64.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 9.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.25
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$3.91
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$3.59
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â9)
$4.61
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 32.0%)
$33.30
(+619%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 32.0%)
$10.66
(+130%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 32.0%)
$9.06
(+96%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 9.0
Stabilization Target:
$5.94
(+28.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (UDMY)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Apr 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Udemy's intrinsic value was revised to $8.20 per share, leading to a debate about the company's growth plans and profitability. Canaccord lowered its price target by $2, signaling lingering caution about Udemy's execution and valuation.
Key Retail Themes:
Udemy's growth plans and profitability
Analysts' price target revisions
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 10, 2026 8:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:58 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL
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