Frontier Group (ULCC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ULCC - Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$5.62
0.09 (1.63%)
â˛
5d:
-2.09%
30d:
-16.12%
90d:
-7.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ULCC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -16.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ULCC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -16.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.48
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.37
32.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ULCC is currently trading at $5.62, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.57 to $7.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.4) compared to its historical average (24.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ULCC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.41, while resistance sits at $6.03.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.78 (+20.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ULCC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.41, while resistance sits at $6.03.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.78 (+20.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$5.57 -
$7.07
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ULCC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.6% below Wall St target ($6.78)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.57 -
$7.07
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.41
Resistance Level
$6.03
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.43
Wall Street Target
$6.78
(+20.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
37.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Profit Margin
-9.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 24.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.06
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.55
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.10
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â25)
$7.01
(+25%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.4 to 24.7
Stabilization Target:
$9.62
(+71.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+71.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 6:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ULCC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ULCC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ULCC price and gamma walls.
