ULCC Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED

Frontier Group (ULCC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$7.59
-0.11 (-1.43%) ▼
5d: +2.15% 30d: +50.89% 90d: +19.53%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (19%)
Quality Score
35/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$5.08 – $7.30
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
31.7x STRETCHED
vs 23.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$7.39
-2.6% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$6.40 / $8.53
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ULCC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.02
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.98
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ULCC is currently trading at $7.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.08 to $7.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.7) compared to its historical average (23.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.9% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ULCC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.40, while resistance sits at $8.53.

Market Sentiment: ULCC scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $5.08 - $7.30
Company Quality Score 35/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 19.0%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $5.08 - $7.30
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $6.40
Resistance Level $8.53
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 13, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($7.39)
  • BEARISH: Market expects 9.9% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
  • WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 31.70
Wall Street Target $7.39 (-2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 52.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1.0%
Profit Margin -8.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.9% premium
PE vs Historical 31.7 vs 23.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $8.34 (+10%)
2-Year Target $9.17 (+21%)
3-Year Target $10.07 (+33%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 32→24) PE COMPRESSION $7.59 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ULCC)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: A bullish trader on StockTwits expresses optimism about $ULCC's quarterly chart, predicting a potential price increase above 10.00.
Key Retail Themes: Strengthening quarterly chart
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 5:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive ULCC Research Pages
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