VSTA
Vasta Platform Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
Services-Educational Services
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VSTA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$4.90
-0.08 (-1.61%)
▼
5d:
+0.2%
30d:
-0.81%
90d:
-1.61%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (38%)
Quality Score
56/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
2.0x
FAIR
vs 2.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$4.59
-6.4% vs target
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$4.60 / $5.05
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: VSTA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.08
Based on 12.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.64
13.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VSTA is currently trading at $4.90, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.9) is in line with its historical norms (2.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 975.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VSTA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.60, while resistance sits at $5.05.
Market Sentiment: VSTA scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VSTA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.60, while resistance sits at $5.05.
Market Sentiment: VSTA scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
38.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
Support Level
$4.60
Resistance Level
$5.05
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jan 28, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($4.59)
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.95
Wall Street Target
$4.59
(-6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
975.3%
Profit Margin
28.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.0 vs 2.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.89
(0%)
2-Year Target
$4.88
(0%)
3-Year Target
$4.87
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→2)
$4.99
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 21.5%)
$100.52
(+1951%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.0, Growth: 21.5%)
$8.80
(+80%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.7, Growth: 21.5%)
$7.48
(+53%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.0 to 2.0
Stabilization Target:
$5.02
(+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.5%
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VSTA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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