Vital Energy (VTLE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$17.95
-0.15 (-0.83%)
âŧ
5d:
-6.27%
30d:
+4.97%
90d:
+12.54%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (66%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
3.8x
FAIR
vs 3.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$20.82
+16.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$17.41 / $19.45
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VTLE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Get Alerted When VTLE Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.27
Based on -19.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VTLE is currently trading at $17.95, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.8) is in line with its historical norms (3.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTLE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.41, while resistance sits at $19.45.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.82 (+16.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTLE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.41, while resistance sits at $19.45.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.82 (+16.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
66.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
Support Level
$17.41
Resistance Level
$19.45
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Dec 12, 2025
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($20.82)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.84
Wall Street Target
$20.82
(+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2103.8%
Profit Margin
-69.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
3.8 vs 3.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.24
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$18.53
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$18.83
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4â4)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.13
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 3.8, Growth: -42.8%)
$13.09
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.6, Growth: -42.8%)
$76.94
(+329%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.7, Growth: -42.8%)
$12.60
(-30%)
Share VTLE Analysis
Share this live VTLE analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (VTLE)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Sep 23, 2025
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on VTLE are bullish (sentiment score +0.44) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is VTLE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas E&P Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas E&P by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
DVN
Devon Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$62 | 59 HOLD |
|
FANG
Diamondback Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$239 | 56 HOLD |
|
EXE
Expand Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$123 | 50 HOLD |
|
COP
ConocoPhillips |
BUY
30 analysts |
$152 | 57 HOLD |
|
CTRA
Coterra Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$37 | 53 HOLD |
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive VTLE Research Pages
