Best Buy (BBY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBY - Best Buy Company, Inc.
$93.22
0.37 (0.40%)
▲
5d:
-1.7%
30d:
+8.74%
90d:
+22.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BBY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BBY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$91.16
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBY is currently trading at $93.22, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.26 to $91.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.0) compared to its historical average (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $95.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BBY scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $95.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BBY scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$84.26 -
$91.77
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BBY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($86.70)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.9% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$84.26 -
$91.77
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.77
Resistance Level
$95.85
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.02
Wall Street Target
$86.70
(-7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
70.1%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.9% premium
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 10.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$101.52
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$110.55
(+19%)
3-Year Target
$120.39
(+29%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$93.58
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 5.4%)
$157.68
(+69%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 5.4%)
$109.19
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 5.4%)
$84.88
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.01
Bull Case
$112.97
(+21%)
Analyst growth 10.6%, PE expands to 17.0
Base Case
$102.70
(+10%)
Market implied 10.6%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$63.14
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 22, 2026 1:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BBY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BBY price and gamma walls.
