BBY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBY - Best Buy Company, Inc.
$73.85
-2.16 (-2.84%)
▼
5d:
-4.6%
30d:
+20.77%
90d:
+15.37%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 28, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BBY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BBY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$83.63
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBY is currently trading at $73.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.50 to $77.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.75, while resistance sits at $79.51.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.75, while resistance sits at $79.51.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$63.50 -
$77.32
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($78.65)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.50 -
$77.32
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.75
Resistance Level
$79.51
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.43
Wall Street Target
$78.65
(+3.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.9%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.51
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$83.16
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$86.99
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$76.08
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.4%)
$169.60
(+123%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 5.4%)
$89.04
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 5.4%)
$75.68
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.40
Bull Case
$101.20
(+33%)
Analyst growth 23.1%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case
$92.00
(+21%)
Market implied 23.1%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$50.82
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 12:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jason J Bonfig
SELL
6336 shares
2026-03-23
Kathleen Scarlett
SELL
8049 shares
2026-03-23
Mathew Watson
SELL
3298 shares
2026-03-23
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