GFS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFS - GlobalFoundries Inc. Ordinary Shares
$48.57
0.75 (1.57%)
â˛
5d:
+11.55%
30d:
+2.62%
90d:
-45.83%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GFS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GFS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$116.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.34
32.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFS is currently trading at $48.57, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.72 to $49.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.5) compared to its historical average (22.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.00 (+56.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.00 (+56.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$43.72 -
$49.69
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 56.5% below Wall St target ($76.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.72 -
$49.69
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.15
Resistance Level
$49.18
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.51
Wall Street Target
$76.00
(+56.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.8%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.5 vs 22.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.27
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$42.19
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$39.32
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19â23)
$48.44
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 34.1%)
$128.17
(+164%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.5, Growth: 34.1%)
$117.15
(+141%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: 34.1%)
$99.58
(+105%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.28
Bull Case
$105.20
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 41.1
Base Case
$95.64
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.4
Bear Case
$32.52
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.5 to 22.8
Stabilization Target:
$59.83
(+23.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 22, 2026 7:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GFS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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