LHX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LHX - L3Harris Technologies, Inc.

SEARCH, DETECTION, NAVAGATION, GUIDANCE, AERONAUTICAL SYS
$266.73
-3.71 (-1.37%) ▼
5d: -8.6%
30d: -10.99%
90d: -12.93%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 17, 2026 at $278.38 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 6.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LHX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$476.05
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$295.59
9.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LHX is currently trading at $266.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $276.59 to $295.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.8) compared to its historical average (24.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LHX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $266.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: LHX scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $341.73 (+28.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $276.59 - $295.07
Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 28.1% below Wall St target ($341.73)
  • WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $276.59 - $295.07
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $266.43
Resistance Level $294.14
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.81
Wall Street Target $341.73 (+28.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 190.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -6.1%
Profit Margin 10.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 19.8 vs 24.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $250.19 (-6%)
2-Year Target $234.68 (-12%)
3-Year Target $220.13 (-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→24) $266.63 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.2%) $381.67 (+43%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 12.2%) $376.81 (+41%)
Bear: (PE: 16.8, Growth: 12.2%) $320.29 (+20%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.65
Bull Case $414.98 (+56%)
Analyst growth 39.5%, PE expands to 30.8
Base Case $377.26 (+41%)
Market implied 39.5%, PE stable at 28.0
Bear Case $183.90 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.8 to 24.0
Stabilization Target: $323.08 (+21.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +21.1%
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 11:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:04 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard McCormick SELL 2026-03-19
Jon Rambeau SELL 5528 shares 2026-03-02
Melanie Rakita SELL 751 shares 2026-03-02

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Advanced LHX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LHX price and gamma walls.

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