Life Time Group (LTH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LTH - Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.
$39.91
-0.84 (-2.06%)
▼
5d:
-3.9%
30d:
-10.76%
90d:
+6.91%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LTH is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: LTH is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.16
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LTH is currently trading at $39.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.37 to $44.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.6) compared to its historical average (17.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.07 (+40.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.07 (+40.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$41.37 -
$44.84
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LTH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.5% below Wall St target ($56.07)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.37 -
$44.84
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.79
Resistance Level
$43.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.55
Wall Street Target
$56.07
(+40.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.6%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
19.6 vs 17.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.35
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$42.84
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$44.38
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.95
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 16.4%)
$65.14
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.5, Growth: 16.4%)
$62.88
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.6, Growth: 16.4%)
$53.45
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.83
Bull Case
$50.01
(+25%)
Analyst growth 11.6%, PE expands to 24.5
Base Case
$45.46
(+14%)
Market implied 11.6%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case
$27.71
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 21, 2026 11:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LTH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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