UCTT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UCTT - Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc.
$85.36
-3.81 (-4.27%)
▼
5d:
+10.14%
30d:
-19.11%
90d:
+16.76%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UCTT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UCTT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$177.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$110.46
22.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UCTT is currently trading at $85.36, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.85 to $115.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.6) is in line with its historical norms (23.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.32, while resistance sits at $105.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: UCTT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.40 (+30.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.32, while resistance sits at $105.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: UCTT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.40 (+30.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$83.85 -
$115.89
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 30.5% below Wall St target ($116.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$83.85 -
$115.89
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.32
Resistance Level
$105.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.65
Wall Street Target
$116.40
(+30.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.1%
Profit Margin
-9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.7 vs 23.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.46
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$87.75
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$87.05
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→23)
$89.18
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.6, Growth: 53.0%)
$300.95
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 53.0%)
$275.48
(+209%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 53.0%)
$234.16
(+163%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.6 to 23.2
Stabilization Target:
$91.35
(+2.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 1:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UCTT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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