WSM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WSM - Williams-Sonoma, Inc.
$239.50
13.36 (5.91%)
▲
5d:
+5.42%
30d:
+24.42%
90d:
+32.25%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 28, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: WSM is 10.1% above its trading range ($217.58). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: WSM is 10.1% above its trading range ($217.58). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$245.24
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$152.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WSM is currently trading at $239.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $180.41 to $217.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.7) compared to its historical average (21.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WSM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $215.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: WSM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WSM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $215.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: WSM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$180.41 -
$217.58
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WSM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.1% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.9%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($210.53)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$180.41 -
$217.58
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$197.82
Resistance Level
$215.72
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.71
Wall Street Target
$210.53
(-6.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
24.7 vs 21.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$236.77
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$247.90
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$259.55
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$225.87
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.7, Growth: 5.0%)
$261.50
(+16%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.0%)
$230.53
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 5.0%)
$195.95
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.93
Bull Case
$254.88
(+13%)
Analyst growth 2.5%, PE expands to 27.9
Base Case
$231.71
(+3%)
Market implied 2.5%, PE stable at 25.3
Bear Case
$153.72
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 11:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Laura Alber
SELL
15000 shares
2026-04-17
Jeffrey Howie
SELL
1419 shares
2026-04-08
Karalyn Yearout
SELL
2267 shares
2026-04-08
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