AGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AGI - Alamos Gold Inc. Class A Common Shares
$33.36
0.51 (1.55%)
▲
5d:
+0.63%
30d:
+18.09%
90d:
-23.24%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $33.15 · last confirmed Aug 14, 2026
Strength: 5.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AGI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AGI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.57
31.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AGI is currently trading at $33.36, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.35 to $31.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (13.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 68.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.63, while resistance sits at $34.49.
Market Sentiment: AGI scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.25 (+38.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.63, while resistance sits at $34.49.
Market Sentiment: AGI scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.25 (+38.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$28.35 -
$31.94
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AGI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.6% below Wall St target ($46.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.35 -
$31.94
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.63
Resistance Level
$34.49
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.88
Wall Street Target
$46.25
(+38.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
68.8%
Profit Margin
52.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 13.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.39
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$29.54
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$27.80
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$33.47
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 33.8%)
$148.61
(+346%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 33.8%)
$79.92
(+140%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 33.8%)
$67.93
(+104%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.73
Bull Case
$40.59
(+22%)
Analyst growth 12.3%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case
$36.90
(+11%)
Market implied 12.3%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$22.34
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 13.1
Stabilization Target:
$40.17
(+20.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 15, 2026 8:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is AGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AGI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AGI price and gamma walls.
